Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.000019 0.000021 0.000024 0.000027 0.000030 0.000035 0.000040
2025-01-26 0.000015 0.000018 0.000022 0.000027 0.000033 0.000042 0.000055
2025-02-02 0.000013 0.000016 0.000021 0.000027 0.000036 0.000050 0.000073
2025-02-09 0.000011 0.000015 0.000020 0.000027 0.000039 0.000057 0.000092
2025-02-16 0.000010 0.000014 0.000019 0.000027 0.000041 0.000065 0.000117
2025-02-23 0.000010 0.000013 0.000019 0.000028 0.000044 0.000076 0.000152
2025-03-02 0.000009 0.000013 0.000018 0.000028 0.000047 0.000087 0.000194
2025-03-09 0.000008 0.000012 0.000018 0.000028 0.000049 0.000096 0.000238
2025-03-16 0.000008 0.000011 0.000017 0.000028 0.000051 0.000105 0.000290
2025-03-23 0.000007 0.000011 0.000017 0.000028 0.000053 0.000116 0.000365
2025-03-30 0.000007 0.000010 0.000016 0.000028 0.000055 0.000130 0.000463
2025-04-06 0.000007 0.000010 0.000016 0.000028 0.000056 0.000139 0.000562
2025-04-13 0.000006 0.000009 0.000015 0.000028 0.000058 0.000151 0.000704
2025-04-20 0.000006 0.000009 0.000015 0.000027 0.000060 0.000167 0.000913
2025-04-27 0.000006 0.000009 0.000015 0.000028 0.000063 0.000189 0.001275
2025-05-04 0.000005 0.000008 0.000014 0.000028 0.000065 0.000207 0.001698
2025-05-11 0.000005 0.000008 0.000014 0.000028 0.000068 0.000234 0.002490
2025-05-18 0.000005 0.000008 0.000014 0.000029 0.000072 0.000274 0.004147
2025-05-25 0.000005 0.000008 0.000014 0.000029 0.000077 0.000317 0.007207
2025-06-01 0.000005 0.000008 0.000014 0.000029 0.000079 0.000350 0.011635
2025-06-08 0.000004 0.000007 0.000013 0.000029 0.000080 0.000382 0.019596
2025-06-15 0.000004 0.000007 0.000013 0.000029 0.000084 0.000432 0.042928
2025-06-22 0.000004 0.000007 0.000013 0.000029 0.000087 0.000491 0.123195